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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anton Vinnikov vs Martin Buday

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'5"
-Reach77"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Voron Fight ClubTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1623 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anton VinnikovNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Martin BudayNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.15
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
93%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Anton VinnikovMartin Buday
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
8 (44%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (28%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Buday63%
Anton Vinnikov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 63% favorite over Anton Vinnikov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1701), separated by just 1 points.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anton Vinnikov finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.