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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Colin Robinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record10-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight243 lbs
Dynamix MMATeam

What's at stake

Antoni Hardonk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Colin Robinson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+7→ 1609
If they lose-25→ 1577
Colin RobinsonNow 1369
If they win+38→ 1407
If they lose-10→ 1359

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
6.19
61%
Strike accuracy
69%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.91
47%
Strike defense
38%
0
Takedown avg.
2.58
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
40%
Takedown defense
50%
0.88
Submission avg.
5.16

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkColin Robinson
14001500160020072008200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
2 (25%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoni Hardonk78%
Colin Robinson 22%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoni Hardonk a 78% favorite over Colin Robinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Antoni Hardonk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1369, a 233-point edge.

Colin Robinson enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Colin Robinson 90%.

Antoni Hardonk and Colin Robinson share 1 common opponent: Eddie Sanchez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2008
Eddie Sanchez
LossKO/TKO · 2007