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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Jake Craig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jake Craig
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Jake Craig

“Bronson”

5-1-0Light HeavyweightUMMA

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record5-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
240 lbsWeight205 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamShaved Bears MMA· 1598 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Jake CraigNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
61%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
40%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.88
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkJake Craig
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Craig60%
Antoni Hardonk 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Craig a 60% favorite over Antoni Hardonk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jake Craig 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.