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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Karl Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach79"
240 lbsWeight247 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Karl WilliamsNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
61%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.15
47%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
4.20
0%
Takedown accuracy
49%
40%
Takedown defense
100%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkKarl Williams
155016001650170020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Williams73%
Antoni Hardonk 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 73% favorite over Antoni Hardonk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.