Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Mike Wessel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Wessel
us

Mike Wessel

“The Juggernaut”

15-8-0HeavyweightBFC

1564Solid

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight263 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamWestside Fight Team

What's at stake

Antoni Hardonk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Wessel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+14→ 1616
If they lose-18→ 1584
Mike WesselNow 1564
If they win+18→ 1582
If they lose-14→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
1.82
61%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.43
47%
Strike defense
22%
0
Takedown avg.
6.29
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0.88
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkMike Wessel
155016002007200820092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoni Hardonk60%
Mike Wessel 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoni Hardonk a 60% favorite over Mike Wessel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Antoni Hardonk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1564, a 38-point edge.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Wessel 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.