Combat Edge Intelligence

Antoni Hardonk vs Pat Barry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pat Barry
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Pat Barry

“HD”

8-7-0HeavyweightUFC

1525Average

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
240 lbsWeight237 lbs
Dynamix MMATeamTeam Death Clutch

What's at stake

Antoni Hardonk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antoni HardonkNow 1602
If they win+13→ 1615
If they lose-19→ 1583
Pat BarryNow 1525
If they win+19→ 1544
If they lose-13→ 1512

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.40
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
61%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.54
47%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
40%
Takedown defense
76%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Antoni HardonkPat Barry
1500155016002007200820092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Antoni Hardonk60%
Pat Barry 40%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Antoni Hardonk a 60% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Antoni Hardonk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1525, a 77-point edge.

Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antoni Hardonk finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pat Barry 88%.

Antoni Hardonk and Pat Barry share 1 common opponent: Cheick Kongo.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2009
Cheick Kongo
LossKO/TKO · 2011