Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Arroyo vs Bruno Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record19-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio ArroyoNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Bruno SantosNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
1.18
66%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.14
Takedown avg.
3
42%
Takedown accuracy
38%
42%
Takedown defense
67%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Antonio ArroyoBruno Santos
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (10%)
Decision
17 (89%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Arroyo53%
Bruno Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Arroyo a 53% favorite over Bruno Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bruno Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1577), separated by just 3 points.

Antonio Arroyo finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Bruno Santos 11%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.