Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Arroyo vs Theoren Thorn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight175 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamKaizen MMA & Yoga

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio ArroyoNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Theoren ThornNow 1575
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
66%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
1.14
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
42%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio ArroyoTheoren Thorn
155016001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
5 (50%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Theoren Thorn63%
Antonio Arroyo 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theoren Thorn a 63% favorite over Antonio Arroyo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1575), separated by just 1 points.

Antonio Arroyo finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Theoren Thorn 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.