Antônio Braga Neto vs Clint Hester
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
77,0"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamX3 Sports
What's at stake
Antônio Braga Neto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Clint Hester carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1604
If they lose-27→ 1556
If they win+18→ 1559
If they lose-14→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Braga NetoClint Hester
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Braga Neto70%
Clint Hester 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Braga Neto a 70% favorite over Clint Hester in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Antônio Braga Neto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1541, a 42-point edge.
Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Clint Hester enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Antônio Braga Neto finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Clint Hester 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.