Antônio Braga Neto vs Douglas Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Braga NetoDouglas Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues84%
Antônio Braga Neto 16%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 84% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1587), separated by just 4 points.
Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Antônio Braga Neto finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Douglas Rodrigues 86%.
Antônio Braga Neto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.