Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Fabian Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record16-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Renegade
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Carlos Jr.Fabian Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Fabian Edwards63%
Antônio Carlos Jr. 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Fabian Edwards a 63% favorite over Antônio Carlos Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Carlos Jr.'s way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1731), separated by just 0 points.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Fabian Edwards 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.