Antônio Carlos Jr. vs Ronaldo Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record26-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach72"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Carlos Jr.Ronaldo Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Carlos Jr.72%
Ronaldo Souza 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Carlos Jr. a 72% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1749), separated by just 2 points.
Antônio Carlos Jr. enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Antônio Carlos Jr. finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.
Antônio Carlos Jr. carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.