Antonio Carvalho vs Felipe Arantes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record18-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach73,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Bruckmann Martial ArtsTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Antonio Carvalho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Felipe Arantes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-20→ 1607
If they win+15→ 1560
If they lose-9→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio CarvalhoFelipe Arantes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antonio Carvalho61%
Felipe Arantes 39%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Carvalho a 61% favorite over Felipe Arantes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Antonio Carvalho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1545, a 82-point edge.
Felipe Arantes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Antonio Carvalho finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Arantes 72%.
Antonio Carvalho and Felipe Arantes share 1 common opponent: Unknown fighter.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision - Split · 2012
LossKO/TKO · 2013