Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio dos Santos vs David Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamRoker Rough House MMA

What's at stake

Antonio dos Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — David Allen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonio dos SantosNow 1485
If they win+23→ 1508
If they lose-25→ 1460
David AllenNow 1469
If they win+25→ 1494
If they lose-23→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1696 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio dos SantosDavid Allen
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen72%
Antonio dos Santos 28%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 72% favorite over Antonio dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio dos Santos's way (48%).

Antonio dos Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1469, a 16-point edge.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio dos Santos finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.