Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio dos Santos vs Marcio Cabral

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record13-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamBonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio dos SantosNow 1485
If they win+25→ 1510
If they lose-23→ 1462
Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1696 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio dos SantosMarcio Cabral
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
9 (69%)
2 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral76%
Antonio dos Santos 24%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 76% favorite over Antonio dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1485 vs 1499), separated by just 14 points.

Antonio dos Santos finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Cabral 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.