Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio dos Santos vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record12-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Antonio dos Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ondřej Raška carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonio dos SantosNow 1485
If they win+23→ 1508
If they lose-25→ 1460
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+17→ 1483
If they lose-15→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1696 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
44%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio dos SantosOndřej Raška
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (22%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (22%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška53%
Antonio dos Santos 47%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 53% favorite over Antonio dos Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio dos Santos's way (47%).

Antonio dos Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1466, a 19-point edge.

Antonio dos Santos finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.