Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs Cameron Church

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamEscobar Training Grounds

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Cameron ChurchNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.93
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaCameron Church
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (25%)
Submission
1 (25%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca51%
Cameron Church 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 51% favorite over Cameron Church in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1566), separated by just 0 points.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cameron Church 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.