Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs Caol Uno

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Caol Uno
jp

Caol Uno

34-23-5FeatherweightShooto

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record34-23-5
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'2"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamUno Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Caol UnoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaCaol Uno
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (9%)
1 (25%)
Submission
18 (53%)
1 (25%)
Decision
13 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca66%
Caol Uno 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 66% favorite over Caol Uno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1563), separated by just 3 points.

Caol Uno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Caol Uno 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.