Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Fofirca vs Curt Warburton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamNEVT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Curt WarburtonNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Antonio FofircaCurt Warburton
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
1 (25%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (25%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca53%
Curt Warburton 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 53% favorite over Curt Warburton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Curt Warburton's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1567), separated by just 1 points.

Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Curt Warburton 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.