Antonio Fofirca vs Joe Duffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-Reach73.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Black Panther GymTeamThe MMA Clinic
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio FofircaJoe Duffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antonio Fofirca63%
Joe Duffy 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 63% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1563), separated by just 3 points.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Antonio Fofirca finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.