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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Mendes vs Chad Yard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1473Average

Tale of the tape

18-13-0Record0-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight223 lbs
Dragon FightTeamFight Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio MendesNow 1472
If they win+12→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1460
Chad YardNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
23%
Strike defense
Not available
2.51
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Antonio MendesChad Yard
15002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard68%
Antonio Mendes 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 68% favorite over Antonio Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1473), separated by just 1 points.

Antonio Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Mendes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.