Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Mendes vs Eric Schafer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-13-0Record14-8-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragon FightTeamRed Schafer MMA

What's at stake

Eric Schafer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Antonio Mendes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonio MendesNow 1475
If they win+17→ 1492
If they lose-7→ 1468
Eric SchaferNow 1623
If they win+10→ 1633
If they lose-22→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
1.89
47%
Strike accuracy
34%
6.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
23%
Strike defense
57%
2.51
Takedown avg.
1.81
50%
Takedown accuracy
36%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.81

Trajectory

Antonio MendesEric Schafer
1500155016001650201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (22%)
Submission
8 (62%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Schafer64%
Antonio Mendes 36%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Schafer a 64% favorite over Antonio Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Eric Schafer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1475, a 148-point edge.

Antonio Mendes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Mendes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Eric Schafer 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.