Antônio Rogério Nogueira vs Diyar Nurgozhay
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
77"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamTobet Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Rogério NogueiraDiyar Nurgozhay
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Rogério Nogueira55%
Diyar Nurgozhay 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Rogério Nogueira a 55% favorite over Diyar Nurgozhay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diyar Nurgozhay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Diyar Nurgozhay 75%.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.