Antônio Rogério Nogueira vs Luis Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
77"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFreedom Fighters
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+24→ 1730
If they lose-24→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Rogério NogueiraLuis Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio Rogério Nogueira54%
Luis Hernandez 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio Rogério Nogueira a 54% favorite over Luis Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 100%.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.