Antônio Rogério Nogueira vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach 76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Rogério NogueiraRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Dolidze70%
Antônio Rogério Nogueira 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 70% favorite over Antônio Rogério Nogueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Rogério Nogueira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1708), separated by just 0 points.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Antônio Rogério Nogueira finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.