Antonio Silva vs Cain Velasquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-15-1Record14-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80,0"Reach77"
264 lbsWeight241 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Cain Velasquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-7→ 1589
If they win+10→ 1747
If they lose-22→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio SilvaCain Velasquez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cain Velasquez83%
Antonio Silva 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Cain Velasquez a 83% favorite over Antonio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Cain Velasquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1596, a 141-point edge.
Antonio Silva enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Antonio Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Cain Velasquez 86%.
Antonio Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.