Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Silva vs Cain Velasquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Antonio Silva
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Antonio Silva

“Bigfoot”

19-15-1HeavyweightAmerican Top Team

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

19-15-1Record14-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80,0"Reach77"
264 lbsWeight241 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Cain Velasquez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antonio SilvaNow 1582
If they win+17→ 1599
If they lose-7→ 1575
Cain VelasquezNow 1737
If they win+9→ 1746
If they lose-23→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
6.37
46%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
50%
Strike defense
57%
0.82
Takedown avg.
5.13
30%
Takedown accuracy
45%
67%
Takedown defense
86%
0.82
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Antonio SilvaCain Velasquez
16001650170017502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

15 (79%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (11%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Cain Velasquez83%
Antonio Silva 17%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Cain Velasquez a 83% favorite over Antonio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Cain Velasquez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1582, a 155-point edge.

Antonio Silva enters on a 9-fight loss streak.

Antonio Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Cain Velasquez 86%.

Antonio Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.