Antonio Silva vs Soa Palelei
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-15-1Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80,0"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Soa Palelei is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Antonio Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1613
If they lose-7→ 1589
If they win+7→ 1743
If they lose-17→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio SilvaSoa Palelei
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Soa Palelei78%
Antonio Silva 22%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Soa Palelei a 78% favorite over Antonio Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Soa Palelei holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1596, a 140-point edge.
Antonio Silva enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Antonio Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Soa Palelei 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.