Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Crosley Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record2-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height5'11"
79"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight180 lbs
LG SystemTeamCrosley Gracie BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Crosley GracieNow 1533
If they win+25→ 1558
If they lose-23→ 1510

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
24%
Strike defense
TBD
0.79
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.79
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliCrosley Gracie
1550160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (50%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Antonio Trócoli and Crosley Gracie within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1533), separated by just 8 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.