Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Denis Tiuliulin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
LG SystemTeamEvolve Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.23
24%
Strike defense
38%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.96
10%
Takedown accuracy
43%
33%
Takedown defense
72%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliDenis Tiuliulin
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
5 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli63%
Denis Tiuliulin 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 63% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1537), separated by just 4 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.

Antonio Trócoli carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.