Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Johnny Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'10"
79"Reach-
186 lbsWeight195 lbs
LG SystemTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1542
If they win+16→ 1558
If they lose-16→ 1526
Johnny SantosNow 1538
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
24%
Strike defense
Not available
0.79
Takedown avg.
Not available
10%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliJohnny Santos
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (50%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Santos53%
Antonio Trócoli 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 53% favorite over Antonio Trócoli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio Trócoli's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1538), separated by just 4 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Johnny Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.