Antonio Trócoli vs Mataeo Garner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record4-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height5'9"
79"Reach70"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antonio TrócoliMataeo Garner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mataeo Garner52%
Antonio Trócoli 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Mataeo Garner a 52% favorite over Antonio Trócoli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio Trócoli's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1534), separated by just 7 points.
Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mataeo Garner 50%.
Antonio Trócoli carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.