Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Sofian Bouafia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record8-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
79"Reach-
186 lbsWeight188 lbs
LG SystemTeamHEM Top Team Algeria

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1542
If they win+16→ 1558
If they lose-16→ 1526
Sofian BouafiaNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
24%
Strike defense
Not available
0.79
Takedown avg.
Not available
10%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.79
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliSofian Bouafia
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (25%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Sofian Bouafia58%
Antonio Trócoli 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sofian Bouafia a 58% favorite over Antonio Trócoli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonio Trócoli's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1541), separated by just 1 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sofian Bouafia 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.