Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Bubba McDaniel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bubba McDaniel
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Bubba McDaniel

“The Menace”

31-10-0Light HeavyweightECF

1545Average

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record31-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight204 lbs
LG SystemTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Bubba McDanielNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
1.64
50%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
24%
Strike defense
57%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.93
10%
Takedown accuracy
50%
33%
Takedown defense
50%
0.79
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliBubba McDaniel
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (32%)
5 (42%)
Submission
19 (61%)
4 (33%)
Decision
2 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli52%
Bubba McDaniel 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 52% favorite over Bubba McDaniel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bubba McDaniel's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1545), separated by just 4 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Bubba McDaniel 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.