Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs Eric Spicely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Spicely
us

Eric Spicely

“Zebrinha”

13-9-0MiddleweightCES

1537Average

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'1"
79"Reach73,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
LG SystemTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
Eric SpicelyNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.72
24%
Strike defense
56%
0.79
Takedown avg.
1.31
10%
Takedown accuracy
20%
33%
Takedown defense
75%
0.79
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliEric Spicely
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
5 (42%)
Submission
7 (54%)
4 (33%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli57%
Eric Spicely 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 57% favorite over Eric Spicely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1537), separated by just 4 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Eric Spicely 85%.

Antonio Trócoli carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.