Combat Edge Intelligence

Antonio Trócoli vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'5"Height6'0"
79"Reach74″
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
LG SystemTeamPhuket Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antonio TrócoliNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525
José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
50%
Strike accuracy
37%
5.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
24%
Strike defense
47%
0.79
Takedown avg.
0.40
10%
Takedown accuracy
33%
33%
Takedown defense
28%
0.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antonio TrócoliJosé Medina
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (42%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (33%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Trócoli51%
José Medina 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Trócoli a 51% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1536), separated by just 5 points.

Antonio Trócoli enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Antonio Trócoli finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.

Antonio Trócoli carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.