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Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio César vs Brandon Royval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record18-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
-Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1618 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio CésarNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Brandon RoyvalNow 1711
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.25
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.65
Not available
Takedown accuracy
75%
Not available
Takedown defense
45%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Antônio CésarBrandon Royval
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
2 (14%)
Submission
10 (56%)
8 (57%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Antônio César56%
Brandon Royval 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Antônio César a 56% favorite over Brandon Royval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1711), separated by just 4 points.

Antônio César enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Antônio César finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Royval 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.