Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio César vs Juan Puerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Juan Puerta
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Juan Puerta

“Leadfeather”

24-8-0FlyweightTFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record24-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'8"
-Reach39,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Antônio CésarNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Juan PuertaNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Antônio CésarJuan Puerta
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
2 (15%)
Submission
12 (50%)
8 (62%)
Decision
11 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Antônio César70%
Juan Puerta 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Antônio César a 70% favorite over Juan Puerta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Puerta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1677), separated by just 2 points.

Antônio César enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Antônio César finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Juan Puerta 54%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.