Antônio César vs Magomed Bibulatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
-Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Antônio CésarMagomed Bibulatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antônio César71%
Magomed Bibulatov 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Antônio César a 71% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Bibulatov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1718), separated by just 3 points.
Antônio César enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Antônio César finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.