Combat Edge Intelligence

Antônio Monteiro vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Jamie Mullarkey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Antônio Monteiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Antônio MonteiroNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+11→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.40
Not available
Takedown accuracy
30%
Not available
Takedown defense
79%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Antônio MonteiroJamie Mullarkey
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
6 (35%)
Submission
3 (17%)
8 (47%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jamie Mullarkey72%
Antônio Monteiro 28%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Jamie Mullarkey a 72% favorite over Antônio Monteiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Jamie Mullarkey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1615, a 16-point edge.

Antônio Monteiro finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.