Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira vs Ivan Shtyrkov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-10-1Record23-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"ReachTBD
240 lbsWeight237 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamArchangel Michael Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1812
If they lose-12→ 1788
If they win+12→ 1804
If they lose-12→ 1780
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Antônio Rodrigo NogueiraIvan Shtyrkov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Shtyrkov72%
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Shtyrkov a 72% favorite over Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1800 vs 1792), separated by just 8 points.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Shtyrkov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Shtyrkov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.