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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anvar Boynazarov vs Royler Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record5-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
149 lbsWeight150 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamGracie Humaita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anvar BoynazarovNow 1513
If they win+24→ 1537
If they lose-24→ 1489
Royler GracieNow 1510
If they win+16→ 1526
If they lose-16→ 1494

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
0%
Strike accuracy
Not available
7.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
29%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anvar BoynazarovRoyler Gracie
15001550201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
1 (17%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Royler Gracie58%
Anvar Boynazarov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Royler Gracie a 58% favorite over Anvar Boynazarov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anvar Boynazarov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1510), separated by just 3 points.

Anvar Boynazarov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Royler Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Anvar Boynazarov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Royler Gracie 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.