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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anzor Baybatyrov vs Joe Lauzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72.4"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
TeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anzor BaybatyrovNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.84
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.39
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.39
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.04

Trajectory

Anzor BaybatyrovJoe Lauzon
15001550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
9 (32%)
2 (25%)
Submission
17 (61%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon63%
Anzor Baybatyrov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 63% favorite over Anzor Baybatyrov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anzor Baybatyrov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1649), separated by just 0 points.

Anzor Baybatyrov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Anzor Baybatyrov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.