Apollo Gomes vs Luis Gurule
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
70"Reach64"
145 lbsWeight126 lbs
Evolucao Fight TeamTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Apollo GomesLuis Gurule
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Gurule55%
Apollo Gomes 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 55% favorite over Apollo Gomes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Apollo Gomes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1643), separated by just 5 points.
Apollo Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Apollo Gomes finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.
Apollo Gomes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.