Combat Edge Intelligence

Arata Mizuno vs Brian Davidson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Freelance· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamK2L Grindhouse

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arata MizunoNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Brian DavidsonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Arata MizunoBrian Davidson
15501600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (15%)
6 (67%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Arata Mizuno60%
Brian Davidson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arata Mizuno a 60% favorite over Brian Davidson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Davidson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Davidson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Arata Mizuno finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Brian Davidson 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.