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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arbi Aguev vs Chad Griggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Arbi Aguev
at

Arbi Aguev

“Monster”

34-13-0Light HeavyweightACA

1630Solid
Chad Griggs
us

Chad Griggs

“The Grave Digger”

11-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

34-13-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA ViennaTeamApex MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arbi AguevNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Chad GriggsNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.22
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.51
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
42%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Arbi AguevChad Griggs
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (24%)
KO/TKO
11 (100%)
15 (45%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Arbi Aguev and Chad Griggs within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.

Arbi Aguev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Chad Griggs enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Arbi Aguev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Chad Griggs 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.