Combat Edge Intelligence

Arbi Aguev vs Evgeny Egemberdiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Arbi Aguev
at

Arbi Aguev

“Monster”

33-13-0Light HeavyweightACA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

33-13-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach-
206 lbsWeight209 lbs
MMA ViennaTeamArlan MMA Pro Team

What's at stake

Evgeny Egemberdiev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Arbi Aguev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arbi AguevNow 1601
If they win+13→ 1614
If they lose-11→ 1590
Evgeny EgemberdievNow 1628
If they win+15→ 1643
If they lose-17→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Arbi AguevEvgeny Egemberdiev
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
15 (47%)
Submission
2 (15%)
9 (28%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Evgeny Egemberdiev66%
Arbi Aguev 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Evgeny Egemberdiev a 66% favorite over Arbi Aguev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Evgeny Egemberdiev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1601, a 27-point edge.

Arbi Aguev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Arbi Aguev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Egemberdiev 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.