Arbi Aguev vs Sean O'Connell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-13-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach74,0"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA ViennaTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arbi AguevSean O'Connell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Connell57%
Arbi Aguev 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Connell a 57% favorite over Arbi Aguev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Arbi Aguev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.
Arbi Aguev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Arbi Aguev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.