Archie Colgan vs Mauricio Ruffy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-0-0Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamThe Fighting Nerds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1732
If they win+16→ 1764
If they lose-16→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Archie ColganMauricio Ruffy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mauricio Ruffy53%
Archie Colgan 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 53% favorite over Archie Colgan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Archie Colgan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1748), separated by just 0 points.
Archie Colgan enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Mauricio Ruffy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Mauricio Ruffy 93%.
Mauricio Ruffy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.