Archie Colgan vs Nurullo Aliev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Archie ColganNurullo Aliev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Archie Colgan51%
Nurullo Aliev 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Archie Colgan a 51% favorite over Nurullo Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nurullo Aliev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1735), separated by just 1 points.
Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.
Nurullo Aliev carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.