Combat Edge Intelligence

Archie Colgan vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Archie ColganNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Rafael FizievNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
90%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Archie ColganRafael Fiziev
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (8%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (54%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Archie Colgan and Rafael Fiziev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1731), separated by just 3 points.

Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.